infineform

ratings & statistics for uk & irish horse racing

Wise Words

"The most important maxim for data analysis to heed, and one which many statisticians seem to have shunned, is this: Far better an approximate answer to the right question, which is often vague, than an exact answer to the wrong question, which can always be made precise"

- John Wilder Tukey

Notes

Hopefully, the results search engine is self-explanatory and you, the user, will find little difficulty in interpreting it's use. This is still very much a work in progress, and I have listed below some issues that need taking into account.

Feedback is more than welcome.

Known Issues

  • The infineform database uses results from the days racing, and horses who are subsequently disqualified and/or awarded a race at a later date are ignored. For this reason, you may find in checking maiden races that some horses are previous winners.
  • Last Ran and Last Won are specific to UK/Ireland racecourses. Setting the HD or HG filter to greater than zero may sometimes throw up horses who have "never ran", or "never won" after selecting D winner filter. This is not an error. Overseas form is included in generating the ratings, but details of these races are not included in the datasets.
  • Setting the Last Ran or Last Won buttons to anything other than "Any" presumes that the horse must have ran or won; a minimum run/won of 0 is automatically set to 1.
  • Distance and Course winner are both not code specific.
  • Beaten favourite filter is code specific: ie, a horse running on flat turf may well be a beaten favourite on it's last run on turf, even if it's last actual run was on the all-weather or over jumps, which it may well have won.
  • LTO win is not code specific. Setting the dataset to HD > 0, then setting Last Ran and Last Won as "Same Code", without changing number of days, then setting LTO Finish position to "Won" and Beaten favourite to "Yes" produces an unexpected result: 178 runners. Makes sense? An example: Le Duc ran in a chase in May, it's previous race, over hurdles earlier in the same month, which it won. Le Duc ran in a chase in April, was favourite, and was beaten into 3rd place, and is therefore a beaten favourite....